SELL GBPCHF – 1.06137

GBPCHF

Trade ID: gbpchfsell202601211147 | Execution: 183418
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
1.06137
Targets Hit
2 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
1.06137
0
Filled
Jan 21, 2026 11:51 AM
Stop Loss
1.06237
10
HIT
2026-01-21 14:06:00
Take Profit 1
1.06057
8
HIT
2026-01-21 12:12:00
Take Profit 2
1.05987
15
HIT
2026-01-21 12:23:00
Take Profit 3
1.05887
25
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
News Trade
Reason
Sell GBPCHF on false breakout above resistance with bearish multi-timeframe trend, supported by risk-off news driving CHF strength despite GBP CPI support
Details

Price action shows a liquidity sweep to 1.06214 above the 1.06200 psychological level, followed by rejection, creating a clear false breakout pattern. The technical structure is strongly bearish across daily (RSI 36.25, price below EMA50), 4H (RSI 20.87, extremely oversold), and 1H (RSI 25.23) timeframes, all showing price below key EMAs and SMAs. News sentiment is bearish for GBPCHF due to risk-off flows from geopolitical tensions (Greenland), Fed independence concerns, and gold surging to record highs, which boosts CHF as a safe haven, outweighing GBP's positive CPI data. The trade uses a tight SL of 1.06230 above the swing high, with TP1 at 1.05992 (40% of 1H ATR of 36.3 pips), achievable within 90 minutes given current volatility. The proximity to the 1.06200 institutional level is managed with the SL just above resistance, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, RSI oversold on 4H/1H, price below EMAs on all timeframes, false breakout above 1.06200 round number
Fundamental Sentiment
Risk-off sentiment from geopolitical tensions (Greenland) and Fed politicization, CHF safe-haven demand, GBP supported by sticky CPI but outweighed by risk-off flows
Confidence Score
88
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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