BUY CHFJPY – 200.03

CHFJPY

Trade ID: chfjpybuy202601221154 | Execution: 204244
Status
WON
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
200.03
Targets Hit
3 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
200.03
0
Filled
Jan 22, 2026 11:58 AM
Stop Loss
199.91
12
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
200.114
8.4
HIT
2026-01-22 12:19:00
Take Profit 2
200.21
18
HIT
2026-01-22 12:50:00
Take Profit 3
200.33
30
HIT
2026-01-22 13:17:00

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Trend Following
Reason
CHFJPY is in a clear bullish trend across all timeframes with a recent 5M liquidity sweep pattern providing a high-probability long entry. The news flow supports risk-on conditions and JPY weakness, aligning with the technical setup.
Details

The trade identifies a strong bullish alignment with price above key EMAs on daily, 4H, and 1H charts. A liquidity sweep on the 5M timeframe, where price briefly dipped below the 5M EMA50 at 200.027 before recovering, confirms a smart money entry point. Fundamental drivers include the Greenland Framework triggering risk-on sentiment, which historically weakens the Japanese Yen in carry trade environments, while the Swiss Franc may hold value. The technical confluence is reinforced by supportive news sentiment indicating USD strength and receding trade fears, leading to a high-conviction buy setup with tightly structured stop loss and take profit targets based on hourly volatility.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe alignment: Daily, 4H, 1H all bullish. 5M liquidity sweep with price recovering above EMA50.
Fundamental Sentiment
Risk-on sentiment from Greenland deal easing tensions; USD strengthening and JPY weakening dynamics support CHFJPY upside.
Confidence Score
95
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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