SELL GBPCHF – 1.06581

GBPCHF

Trade ID: gbpchfsell202601232017 | Execution: 231396
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
1.06581
Targets Hit
2 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
1.06581
0
Filled
Jan 23, 2026 8:19 PM
Stop Loss
1.06701
12
HIT
2026-01-23 23:01:00
Take Profit 1
1.06485
9.6
HIT
2026-01-23 21:27:00
Take Profit 2
1.06389
19.2
HIT
2026-01-23 21:28:00
Take Profit 3
1.06269
31.2
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Trend Following
Reason
Price rejected after liquidity sweep below 1.06566; bearish trend alignment suggests continuation; TP1 (6.6 pips) achievable within session.
Details

GBPCHF is in a strong bearish trend across all timeframes with price below key EMAs and momentum indicators negative. The price action shows a liquidity sweep below the 1.06566 support level followed by a slight rejection, creating a classic stop-hunt pattern. While the technical setup is robust with confluence and volume supporting the downtrend, the proximity to the psychological round number at 1.06600 (only 1.9 pips away) introduces significant risk. Additionally, the stop loss requirement (30 pips) to protect against structure violation results in an unacceptable risk:reward ratio of 1:0.22 relative to the TP1 target. With the NY session ending and volatility tapering, the trade setup is technically valid but fails risk management criteria, leading to a HOLD decision despite high confidence in the directional bias.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment (Daily, 4H, 1H, 15M below EMAs; RSI/MACD negative); Liquidity sweep pattern identified
Fundamental Sentiment
Neutral (no fresh GBP/CHF news in 4h window; UK PMI positive but 11h old)
Confidence Score
90
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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