USDCHF
Trade ID: usdchfsell202601282248 | Execution: 312898
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
0.76739
Targets Hit
2 / 3
Trade Levels
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
0.76739
0
Filled
Jan 28, 2026 10:49 PM
Stop Loss
0.76869
13
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
0.76661
7.8
HIT
2026-01-28 23:38:00
Take Profit 2
0.7657
16.9
HIT
2026-01-29 00:00:00
Take Profit 3
0.76414
32.5
Not Hit
-
Trade Analysis
Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Reversal
Reason
Sell USDCHF due to a high-probability technical reversal setup following a false breakout and bearish sweep pattern, aligned with a strong fundamental backdrop of US dollar weakness stemming from a dovish Fed and political commentary.
Details
The trade exploits a bearish reversal signal on USDCHF at 0.76739, following an Asian session false breakout and an equal highs/lows sweep—classic stop-hunting patterns indicating a failed bullish attempt. Technically, this is reinforced by multi-timeframe bearish momentum (H4 24% bearish) and a stop loss positioned above structural resistance. Fundamentally, this aligns perfectly with a pervasive USD-negative environment: the Fed held rates but revealed internal dissent for cuts, President Trump expressed comfort with dollar weakness, and news flows highlight broad USD selling across majors (EUR, GBP, AUD rallying) and safe-haven demand benefiting CHF, as seen in CADCHF support tests and record gold/silver rallies.
Confluence Metrics
Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, Asian false break and equal HL sweep patterns, stop loss at structural resistance
Fundamental Sentiment
Dovish Fed hold with two dissenting votes for cut, Trump unconcerned about weak USD, broad USD selling and safe-haven CHF flows
Confidence Score
94
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
Medium