BUY AUDJPY – 108.794

AUDJPY

Trade ID: audjpybuy1770346625808 | Execution: 500137
Status
LOST
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
108.794
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
108.794
0
Filled
Feb 6, 2026 2:58 AM
Stop Loss
108.674
12
HIT
2026-02-06 03:24:00
Take Profit 1
108.866
7.2
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
108.95
15.6
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
109.094
30
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Trading
Reason
Anticipated JPY weakness from PM election outcome targeting FVG fill with structural stop
Details

The trade combines technical breakout signals (FVG midline target & gap fill pattern) with fundamental JPY depreciation catalysts. Technically, the setup shows confluence from the H4 bullish bias and price action patterns suggesting continuation, though partially offset by MTF neutrality and OBV divergence indicating weakening momentum. Fundamentally, JPY faces election-related uncertainty with PM Takaichi expected to win but potentially expanding fiscal policy (bearish JPY), while AUD benefits slightly from RBAs recent hold amid high volatility. The trade leverages institutional JPY selling flows evident in EURJPY strength and prediction markets pricing political continuity. Tight SL at structural support mitigates risk from the OBV conflict and neutral MTF signals.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
FVG_MIDLINE/GAP_FILL/H4 58% BULLISH/STRUCTURAL SL
Fundamental Sentiment
JPY Weakness Ahead of Election/RBA Hawkish Hold/AUD Resilience
Confidence Score
70
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
High
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