SELL GBPCHF – 1.05085

GBPCHF

Trade ID: gbpchfsell1770622750163 | Execution: 552040
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
1.05085
Targets Hit
1 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
1.05085
0
Filled
Feb 9, 2026 7:40 AM
Stop Loss
1.05225
14
HIT
2026-02-09 11:45:00
Take Profit 1
1.05001
8.4
HIT
2026-02-09 09:38:00
Take Profit 2
1.04889
19.6
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
1.04735
35
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout
Reason
Short GBPCHF due to confirmed bearish technical structure with MTF confirmation, high volatility tailwind for directional momentum, and political risk premium depressing sterling
Details

GBPCHF sell executed at 1.05085 follows Asian False Break pattern suggesting exhaustion of prior bullish attempts during low-liquidity session. Technical confluence emerges from multiple timeframe bearish alignment (H4 showing 7% bearish momentum, MTF confirming trend) with price rejecting structural resistance. Fundamental backdrop supports CHF strength via haven flows amid volatile markets (gold volatility mentions) while UK-specific factors include PM Starmer resignation rumors and Mandelson scandal creating GBP uncertainty. The 1.05001 TP1 aligns with recent swing low, TP2/TP3 target deeper liquidity pools below key psychological 1.05 handle. Institutional neutrality suggests absence of counter-positioning flows while high volatility justifies tighter SL at 1.05225 just above Fridays London high. This trade combines technical breakdown confirmation with emerging political risk catalyst in GBP crosses under elevated VIX conditions favoring defensive CHF exposure.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Price action breakdown via Asian False Break pattern converge with multi-timeframe bearish alignment targeting structure-based support levels
Fundamental Sentiment
Combined UK political uncertainty clouding GBP sentiment and risk-off currency flows favoring CHF amid volatile macro backdrop
Confidence Score
70
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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