SELL AUDJPY – 109.475

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AUDJPY

Trade ID: audjpysell1770732411667 | Execution: 570955
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
109.475
Targets Hit
3 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
109.475
0
Filled
Feb 10, 2026 2:08 PM
Stop Loss
109.595
12
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
109.403
7.2
HIT
2026-02-10 14:33:00
Take Profit 2
109.319
15.6
HIT
2026-02-10 14:38:00
Take Profit 3
109.175
30
HIT
2026-02-10 14:47:00

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Mean Reversion
Reason
Selling AUDJPY due to technical bearish confluence including gap fill and structure resistance, supported by deteriorating Australian consumer sentiment after RBA rate hike and heightened China-Japan geopolitical tensions affecting risk sentiment.
Details

The trade leverages AUDJPYs gap fill pattern with bearish multi-timeframe alignment (H4 52% bearish weight) against recent price structure resistance. Fundamentally, Australias -2.6% Westpac consumer sentiment drop post-RBA hike creates AUD weakness while Japan benefits from haven flows amid escalating China-Japan tensions over Taiwan. High volatility conditions increase probability of gap closure. Structural SL at 109.595 provides tight risk management for bearish technical setup reinforced by Chinas reduced US Treasury holdings (pressuring JPY crosses) and silver/gold rallies indicating risk-off flows unfavorable to commodity-linked AUD. Trade targets conservative 20-30 pip moves given neutral institutional positioning despite strong entry signals.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Gap Fill Pattern, Bearish MTF Alignment, Structure Resistance
Fundamental Sentiment
Bearish AUD Consumer Sentiment Post-RBA Hike, China-Japan Geopolitical Tensions
Confidence Score
88
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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