US500
Trade ID: us500sell1770766724547 | Execution: 576065
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
6954.8
Targets Hit
1 / 3
Trade Levels
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
6954.8
0
Filled
Feb 10, 2026 11:40 PM
Stop Loss
6972.8
18
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
6940.4
14.4
HIT
2026-02-11 10:01:00
Take Profit 2
6927.8
27
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
6909.8
45
Not Hit
-
Trade Analysis
Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Trend Following
Reason
Bearish technical confluence with MTF confirmation amid disinflationary ECB outlook and USD weakness creates high-probability short setup targeting support levels
Details
The SELL on US500 combines strong technical structure (EQUAL_HL_SWEEP pattern at 6954.8 with 88% H4 probability) with fundamental pressure from ECB research showing tariffs may reduce demand. MTF bearish alignment supports downward momentum despite institutional neutrality, while high volatility increases breakout potential. The OBV conflict suggests some weakening momentum but structural SL at 6972.8 limits risk. Fundamental context includes soft US data (retail sales stagnation) and golds safe-haven rally to $5060, indicating risk-off sentiment. Though NFP/CPI loom as catalysts, the technical sweep pattern near resistance with MTF confirmation justifies targeting 6909.8 support zone.
Confluence Metrics
Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
EQUAL_HL_SWEEP pattern, H4 88% probability, MTF bearish alignment, structure-based SL, OBV conflict
Fundamental Sentiment
Neutral-Bearish (ECB disinflationary tariff impact, weak US retail sales, gold rally signaling risk aversion)
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
High