SELL USDJPY – 153.239

USDJPY

Trade ID: usdjpysell1770797841467 | Execution: 582916
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
153.239
Targets Hit
1 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
153.239
0
Filled
Feb 11, 2026 8:18 AM
Stop Loss
153.389
15
HIT
2026-02-11 09:24:00
Take Profit 1
153.149
9
HIT
2026-02-11 08:46:00
Take Profit 2
153.044
19.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
152.864
37.5
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Counter-Trend Reversal
Reason
Bearish technical setup at resistance with USD weakness due to rate cut bets and poor US data
Details

This trade combines technical reversal patterns (London MSS reversal + Order Block at resistance) with fundamental USD bearishness from Feds extended hold signals (Logan/Hammack), disappointing retail sales, and falling Treasury yields. High volatility creates conditions for sharp reversal despite MTF bearish alignment. News shows USD broadly weak (AUD/CAD/GBP/EUR rallies) with gold/silver gains underlining dollar decline. USDJPY specifically fell on BOJ intervention threats (earlier Mimura news) and US yield retreat, though neutral institutional positioning tempers conviction slightly. Tight 15-pip SL placed above structure provides favorable R:R for counter-trend play into upcoming NFP catalyst.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
LONDON_MSS_REVERSAL, ORDER_BLOCK, technical resistance at 153.389
Fundamental Sentiment
FED dovish signals, weak US retail sales, falling Treasury yields, JPY intervention tensions
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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