SELL EURJPY – 181.602

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EURJPY

Trade ID: eurjpysell1771212147548 | Execution: 674485
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
181.602
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
181.602
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 3:23 AM
Stop Loss
181.752
15
HIT
2026-02-16 04:53:00
Take Profit 1
181.497
10.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
181.407
19.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
181.227
37.5
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Short
Reason
The trade sells EUR/JPY at 181.602 targeting three profit levels as technical patterns show a false breakout to the upside and a strong supply order‑block, reinforced by high volume and an OBV divergence. Yen‑centric macro news indicating dollar weakness and yen appreciation adds bearish fundamental bias.
Details

Technical analysis reveals an Asian false break above the recent high, quickly rejected into a clear order‑block around 181.60, with the 4‑hour chart showing a 15% bearish bias and higher‑timeframe charts also in downtrend. Volume spikes on the rejection and an OBV conflict confirm selling pressure, while the stop‑loss is placed at the structural swing high of 181.752, offering a tight risk‑reward. Fundamentally, recent commentary on “Dollar drift with yield shock, yen breaks tradition” and a softer dollar outlook from US rate expectations support yen strength, reducing EUR demand and further tilting EUR/JPY lower. The confluence of these technical and fundamental factors justifies a high‑confidence short position with profit targets at 181.497, 181.407 and 181.227.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Asian false break, order block, multi‑timeframe bearish alignment, high volume, OBV conflict, structure stop at 181.752
Fundamental Sentiment
Yen strength from dollar drift and risk‑off sentiment, US rate outlook limiting EUR demand
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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