SELL USDJPY – 153.448

USDJPY

Trade ID: usdjpysell1771257082189 | Execution: 687050
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
153.448
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
153.448
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 3:52 PM
Stop Loss
153.598
15
HIT
2026-02-16 23:08:00
Take Profit 1
153.343
10.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
153.253
19.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
153.073
37.5
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout
Reason
The chart shows a bearish sweep with a fair‑value‑gap at the midline and an equal high‑low sweep, reinforced by MTF bearish alignment and strong volume. Weak dollar fundamentals and yen‑supporting news add further downside pressure.
Details

Technical analysis on the 4‑hour and higher timeframes reveals a clear bearish structure: a fair‑value gap centered around 153.45 acts as a midline resistance, while an equal high‑low sweep confirms a supply zone. The entry at 153.448 sits at the top of this zone, with a tight structure‑based stop at 153.598. Volume is unusually high, indicating aggressive selling, and the OBV indicator shows a divergence that flags weakening buying pressure. On the fundamental side, recent CPI data has softened the US dollar, the DXY is stabilising, and the yen has rallied on expectations of tighter policy after the BoJ’s recent meeting and the political boost from the Takaichi election victory. Together, these factors create a confluence that supports a short position with multiple profit targets at 153.343, 153.253 and 153.073.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
FVG midline, equal high‑low sweep, multi‑timeframe bearish bias, high volume, OBV conflict
Fundamental Sentiment
Weak USD after CPI, yen strength from BoJ neutrality and post‑election optimism, no fresh hawkish data
Confidence Score
78
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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