SELL AVXUSD – 9.1475

The trade is triggered by a technical sweep where price simultaneously breaches the recent high and low (equal HL sweep), generating a sell signal that is reinforced by unusually high volume and a conflicting OBV reading suggesting distribution pressure. The H4 timeframe shows only modest bullish bias (43%) and multi‑timeframe alignment is neutral, limiting upside potential. A structural stop‑loss is placed above the swing high to protect against a false breakout. Fundamentally, recent US CPI came in softer than expected, labor market data are weakening, and the Bank of America FX positioning survey shows the dollar at a record underweight, all pointing to a bearish USD outlook. The convergence of these technical and macro factors justifies a high‑confidence short position on AVXUSD with tiered profit targets.