SELL US500 – 6840.5

US500

Trade ID: us500sell1771346442062 | Execution: 712047
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
6840.5
Targets Hit
2 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
6840.5
0
Filled
Feb 17, 2026 4:41 PM
Stop Loss
6858.5
18
HIT
2026-02-17 18:40:00
Take Profit 1
6826.1
14.4
HIT
2026-02-17 17:22:00
Take Profit 2
6813.5
27
HIT
2026-02-17 17:45:00
Take Profit 3
6795.5
45
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Sell Sweep Breakout
Reason
The S&P 500 exhibits a bearish multi‑timeframe setup with an equal high‑low sweep and OBV conflict on extreme volume, indicating a short‑term pull‑back. Deteriorating inflation data and heightened risk‑off sentiment reinforce the sell signal.
Details

On the US500 the 4‑hour chart shows the price forming an equal high‑low sweep around 6840‑6850, a classic sell‑sweep pattern that often precedes a corrective move lower. Multi‑timeframe analysis is bearish, with the daily and weekly trends both pointing down and the H4 retracement sitting at roughly 25 % of the recent swing, providing a clear entry zone. On‑balance volume diverges from price, turning negative as volume spikes to extreme levels, confirming selling pressure. The stop is placed just above the recent structural high at 6858.5, respecting market structure. Fundamentally, US CPI has eased to 2.4 % YoY, fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts and reducing equity upside, while UK labour market weakness and heightened geopolitical risk around Iran‑US negotiations have increased risk‑off sentiment. The US holiday further thins liquidity, amplifying the technical bias. Together these factors justify a short position at 6840.5 with tiered profit targets at 6826.1, 6813.5 and 6795.5.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
MTF bearish alignment, equal high‑low sweep pattern, OBV divergence, extreme volume spike, H4 25% retracement support at 6858.5
Fundamental Sentiment
US CPI slowdown and rising expectations of Fed rate cuts, UK unemployment rise prompting risk‑off, geopolitical tension around Iran‑US talks, low liquidity on President’s Day
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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