BUY AUDJPY – 107.666

AUDJPY

Trade ID: audjpybuy1770022496813 | Execution: 408611
Status
LOST
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
107.666
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
107.666
0
Filled
Feb 2, 2026 8:55 AM
Stop Loss
107.546
12
HIT
2026-02-02 09:03:00
Take Profit 1
107.738
7.2
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
107.822
15.6
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
107.966
30
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Mean Reversion
Reason
Price filling technical gap with USD strength potentially weakening JPY while RBA remains more hawkish than BOJ
Details

The trade bets on AUDJPYs gap fill pattern (107.738-107.822) amid conflicting fundamental forces. Technically, the price is near structural support (107.546 SL) with H4 bullish confluence (63%), though OBV conflict introduces uncertainty. Fundamentally, Trumps nomination of hawkish Fed Chair Warsh boosted USD, while AU-US rate differentials may widen if RBA hikes as AU inflation stays hot. JPY weakens as gold/silver crash reduces safe-haven demand. Moderate confidence (69) reflects OBV concerns and institutional neutrality, but technical structure and volatility justify the gap fill play.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
GAP_FILL pattern, H4 63% alignment, support at 107.546
Fundamental Sentiment
USD strength post-Warsh nomination, RBA/BOJ divergence, safe-haven JPY outflows
Confidence Score
69
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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