AUDJPY
Trade ID: audjpysell1770340045510 | Execution: 497869
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
108.475
Targets Hit
2 / 3
Trade Levels
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
108.475
0
Filled
Feb 6, 2026 1:08 AM
Stop Loss
108.595
12
HIT
2026-02-06 01:52:00
Take Profit 1
108.403
7.2
HIT
2026-02-06 01:11:00
Take Profit 2
108.319
15.6
HIT
2026-02-06 01:18:00
Take Profit 3
108.175
30
Not Hit
-
Trade Analysis
Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Mean Reversion
Reason
Bearish MTF confluence targets gap fill amid JPY strength from risk-off flows and AUD vulnerability from China-linked commodity uncertainty
Details
This AUDJPY short combines technical confluence (gap fill pattern at resistance, bearish H4/HTF structure, volatility expansion) with fundamental catalysts including: 1) JPY safe-haven bid from Nasdaq selloff/spiking VIX, 2) BoE dovish tilt pressuring riskier assets, 3) Conflicting AUD dynamics (RBA tightening vs Chinese demand concerns shown in copper weakness), and 4) Institutional neutrality creating liquidity void for technical moves. The gap fill pattern aligns with bearish higher timeframe structure while high volatility increases likelihood of reaching TP levels before structure break.
Confluence Metrics
Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Gap Fill Pattern at Resistance, Bearish Multi-Timeframe Alignment, Volatility Expansion
Fundamental Sentiment
Risk-Off Sentiment from Tech Stock Selloffs, BoE Dovish Surprise, Mixed AUD Fundamentals from RBA Hike
Confidence Score
81
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High