BUY AUS200 – 8921.3

AUS200

Trade ID: aus200buy1771201697891 | Execution: 671962
Status
LOST
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
8921.3
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
8921.3
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 12:29 AM
Stop Loss
8920.3
10
HIT
2026-02-16 00:30:00
Take Profit 1
8922.1
8
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
8922.8
15
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
8923.8
25
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Gap Fill Breakout
Reason
The ASX 200 is poised to fill a recent price gap with strong buying on elevated volume, and the entry sits just above a clear structural support, providing a tight stop‑loss and multiple profit targets.
Details

The trade is based on a classic gap‑fill setup where the index dropped below a recent low and is now retracing to the gap area. On the 4‑hour timeframe the price has formed a bullish candle that closes above the gap, and volume has spiked, confirming aggressive buying. Although the OBV indicator shows a short‑term conflict, the overall divergence suggests accumulation by larger players. The H4 chart shows a 23 % bullish bias, while multi‑timeframe analysis remains neutral, indicating no higher‑timeframe trend conflict. The entry at 8921.3 is placed just above the identified structural support at 8920.3, making the stop‑loss a structure‑based level. With three tightly spaced profit targets (8922.1, 8922.8, 8923.8) the risk‑reward is favorable. Fundamental factors are muted, with Australian economic data this week expected to be neutral, so the move is driven primarily by technical dynamics. This combination of a high‑probability gap‑fill, strong volume, and disciplined risk management justifies a high‑conviction long position.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Gap‑fill pattern on the 4‑hour chart, high volume surge, OBV conflict indicating hidden buying, H4 bullish bias (23% strength), price at key structural support
Fundamental Sentiment
Neutral – no major Australian economic releases or news affecting the ASX 200 this week
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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