AUS200
Trade ID: aus200sell1770969076365 | Execution: 620896
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
8909.4
Targets Hit
1 / 3
Trade Levels
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
8909.4
0
Filled
Feb 13, 2026 7:51 AM
Stop Loss
8910.4
10
HIT
2026-02-13 07:54:00
Take Profit 1
8908.6
8
HIT
2026-02-13 07:53:00
Take Profit 2
8907.9
15
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
8906.9
25
Not Hit
-
Trade Analysis
Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Reversal
Reason
Sell the ASX200 expecting a continuation of the down move after a failed Asian breakout and a London‑session reversal, reinforced by deteriorating consumer sentiment and broader risk‑off dynamics.
Details
The trade is based on a confluence of technical signals: the index broke above a key Asian session level only to reverse sharply (Asian false break), the London session showed a market structure shift (MSS reversal) and the 4‑hour chart is 27% bearish, while OBV is conflicting, indicating weakening momentum. Volume is high, confirming the move’s strength. Structurally, the stop is placed at the recent swing high (8910.4). Fundamentally, the Westpac‑MI consumer sentiment survey showed a sharp drop to 90.5, signalling reduced domestic spending, and global risk‑off after strong US jobs and CPI data pressures the AUD and equity markets. Combined, these factors justify a short position with three tight profit targets.
Confluence Metrics
Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Asian false break, London MSS reversal, multi‑timeframe bearish alignment on H4, high volume spike, OBV divergence, entry at 8909.4 just below resistance, stop‑loss at structural 8910.4
Fundamental Sentiment
Weak Australian consumer sentiment, risk‑off tone after strong US data, rising RBNZ inflation expectations, overall bearish bias for equities
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High