SELL BTCUSD – 89511.48

BTCUSD

Trade ID: btcusdsell202601240715 | Execution: 238969
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
89511.48
Targets Hit
3 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
89511.48
0
Filled
Jan 24, 2026 7:18 AM
Stop Loss
90011.48
500
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
89111.48
400
HIT
2026-01-25 18:19:00
Take Profit 2
88761.48
750
HIT
2026-01-25 18:19:00
Take Profit 3
88261.48
1250
HIT
2026-01-25 18:19:00

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout
Reason
Sell on breakdown below 89500 following false breakout reversal pattern with bearish multi-timeframe alignment and oversold RSI reversion setup
Details

The trade is taken on BTCUSD with a sell stop at 89495, below the 89500 round number level, following a false breakout reversal pattern where price briefly broke above 89500 and then reversed. Technical confluence shows bearish alignment across all timeframes: D1 price below key EMAs (89557.98/89602.67), H4 RSI at 34 (oversold) and MACD negative, H1 RSI at 32.41 (oversold). Volume analysis shows negative OBV on 1h timeframe supporting the bearish continuation. The Asian session provides optimal volatility window for false breakout fade strategies. News sentiment is neutral at 47.1% positive, providing no directional bias, allowing technical patterns to dominate. The 15-minute estimated hourly range of 380 pips supports TP1 target of 152 pips achievable within the 90-minute timeframe. Risk management includes 30-pip SL above the recent high at 89525 and 3 profit targets at 40%, 65%, and 85% of the hourly range respectively.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe alignment showing bearish trend across D1, H4, H1; RSI oversold on H1/H4; price action shows false breakout reversal pattern at round number 89500; OBV negative on higher timeframes
Fundamental Sentiment
Market sentiment from 51 news items shows 47.1% positive risk sentiment (neutral), with no major USD events, providing mixed environment that favors technicals over fundamentals
Confidence Score
88
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
High
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