BUY CADJPY – 112.52

CADJPY

Trade ID: cadjpybuy1771218310421 | Execution: 675570
Status
WON
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
112.52
Targets Hit
2 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
112.52
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 5:05 AM
Stop Loss
112.375
14.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
112.622
10.2
HIT
2026-02-16 08:45:00
Take Profit 2
112.709
18.9
HIT
2026-02-16 09:27:00
Take Profit 3
112.883
36.3
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout
Reason
The trade is taken because CADJPY formed a bullish reversal with an Asian false break and gap fill on strong volume, and macro conditions such as a weakening US dollar and solid Canadian commodity exposure support further upside.
Details

Technically the pair broke a short‑term resistance on the Asian session, producing a false break that quickly reversed into a gap‑fill candle at 112.52, confirming buying pressure and allowing a clean entry with a structure‑based stop at 112.375. Multi‑timeframe analysis shows a bullish bias on the H4 chart (22% edge) while higher‑timeframes remain neutral, reinforcing the short‑term move. Fundamentally, the US dollar is under pressure as highlighted in recent “Dollar Set to Test Multi‑Decade Levels” and “Dollar Drift With Yield Shock” reports, reducing USD‑JPY strength and indirectly benefiting CAD against JPY. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is buoyed by steady oil prices and a relatively stable risk‑on environment, while the yen remains soft due to the Bank of Japan’s cautious policy stance. This confluence of a strong technical breakout and supportive macro backdrop justifies a high‑confidence, high‑conviction buy with tiered profit targets.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Asian false break, gap fill, high volume bullish candle, support at 112.52, H4 bullish bias, structure stop loss
Fundamental Sentiment
USD weakness and stable CAD supported by commodity prices, BOJ cautious stance keeping JPY soft, overall risk‑on sentiment
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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