SELL CHFJPY – 200.965

CHFJPY

Trade ID: chfjpysell1770757504422 | Execution: 573712
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
200.965
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
200.965
0
Filled
Feb 10, 2026 9:06 PM
Stop Loss
201.125
16
HIT
2026-02-10 22:01:00
Take Profit 1
200.869
9.6
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
200.757
20.8
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
200.565
40
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Fade
Reason
Technical patterns show failed Asian breakout with bearish MTF structure. JPY strengthens on risk aversion from AI sector fears and China reducing USD assets.
Details

CHFJPY sell targets false breakout during Asian session (ASIAN_FALSE_BREAK pattern) with bearish multi-timeframe confirmation. Institutional neutrality combines with high volatility to enable momentum trades. Fundamental drivers include JPY strength from risk-off sentiment (US broker/AI sector selloff news) and Chinas dollar asset diversification reducing USD demand. EQUAL_HL_SWEEP confirms bearish structure with consecutive lower highs. This confluence suggests overwhelming JPY demand against CHF amid global portfolio rebalancing. French central bank leadership uncertainty adds EUR volatility spillover risk to CHF crosses.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
ASIAN_FALSE_BREAK + EQUAL_HL_SWEEP + MTF BEARISH alignment + High Volatility
Fundamental Sentiment
Bearish JPY carry trades (AI sector risk-off, China dollar asset diversification, European insurer slump)
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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