SELL CHFJPY – 199.472

CHFJPY

Trade ID: chfjpysell1771266411869 | Execution: 689323
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
199.472
Targets Hit
1 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
199.472
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 6:27 PM
Stop Loss
199.632
16
HIT
2026-02-16 23:17:00
Take Profit 1
199.36
11.2
HIT
2026-02-16 22:01:00
Take Profit 2
199.264
20.8
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
199.072
40
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Gap Fill
Reason
Sell CHFJPY at 199.472 targeting TP1‑TP3 as the pair completes a gap‑fill on a bearish structure, reinforced by weakening dollar fundamentals and strong volume
Details

The trade is based on a high‑grade A+ setup where price is filling a fair‑value‑gap midline on the H4 chart, sitting at the 38% retracement of the recent move. Multi‑timeframe analysis shows a consistent bearish bias, and the entry aligns with a pronounced volume surge, indicating institutional participation. The stop is placed at the recent structural low (199.632) to protect against a false breakout. Fundamentally, the US dollar is under pressure after a slowdown in CPI and the market is awaiting US GDP and EU business activity data, which further dampens USD strength. Additionally, yen‑related news from the BoJ‑Takaichi meeting adds to the risk‑off environment, supporting a move lower in CHFJPY. With three tiered profit targets (199.36, 199.264, 199.072) the trade offers a favorable risk‑reward profile, justifying a high confidence and conviction level.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
FVG midline and gap‑fill level at 199.472, 38% H4 retracement, bearish multi‑timeframe alignment, high volume spike, structure stop at 199.632
Fundamental Sentiment
USD weakening after CPI slowdown to 2.4%, upcoming US GDP and EU business activity releases, risk‑off bias, yen strength from BoJ‑Takaichi talks, overall bearish pressure on CHFJPY
Confidence Score
88
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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