SELL EURJPY – 181.793

EURJPY

Trade ID: eurjpysell1771247099816 | Execution: 684226
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
181.793
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
181.793
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 1:06 PM
Stop Loss
181.943
15
HIT
2026-02-16 16:06:00
Take Profit 1
181.688
10.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
181.598
19.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
181.418
37.5
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Mean Reversion
Reason
The trade targets a sell on EURJPY as the price is completing a gap fill and sits on a fair‑value‑gap midline with bearish pressure on the H4 chart and across higher timeframes. High volume reinforces the move, and the stop is placed at the recent structural high. Fundamental factors such as soft US CPI boosting expectations of Fed cuts, eurozone industrial output contraction and recent BOJ‑Ueda talks hinting at tighter yen policy add downside bias, making the short position well‑aligned with both technical and macro drivers.
Details

The entry at 181.793 targets the completion of a gap‑fill pattern and aligns with a fair‑value‑gap (FVG) midline, indicating that the market is likely to resume its downtrend. On the H4 timeframe the pair shows a clear bearish structure, and the multi‑timeframe (MTF) analysis confirms bearish bias across lower and higher charts. Volume is elevated, suggesting strong participation. The stop‑loss is set at the recent swing high (structure), providing a clear risk boundary. On the fundamental side, eurozone industrial production has weakened, reducing EUR strength, while the BOJ‑Ueda meeting raises the prospect of yen appreciation as policymakers consider tightening. Additionally, softer US CPI data has increased expectations of Fed rate cuts, weakening the dollar and indirectly supporting a weaker EURJPY. The confluence of these technical patterns and macro‑economic signals justifies a short position with multiple profit targets at 181.688, 181.598 and 181.418.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Gap Fill, Fair Value Gap Midline, Multi‑timeframe bearish alignment, High volume, H4 bearish bias, Key resistance near 181.8
Fundamental Sentiment
Weak Euro data and potential yen strength from BOJ policy discussion
Confidence Score
78
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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