SELL US2000 – 2631.28

US2000

Trade ID: us2000sell1771295751158 | Execution: 698149
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
2631.28
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
2631.28
0
Filled
Feb 17, 2026 2:36 AM
Stop Loss
2631.38
10
HIT
2026-02-17 02:37:00
Take Profit 1
2631.2
8
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
2631.13
15
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
2631.03
25
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Gap‑Fill Short
Reason
Short US2000 at 2631.28 because the price is completing a gap‑fill into a fair‑value gap midline while lower‑timeframe momentum is bearish and macro data suggest a shift away from US stocks toward Asia, supporting further downside.
Details

The trade is based on a confluence of technical signals: the index is filling a gap and sitting on the mid‑line of a fair‑value gap (FVG), the multi‑timeframe analysis shows bearish bias on higher frames, the H4 chart confirms a 27 % down move, and volume is elevated, indicating strong participation. The stop is placed at the recent structural high (2631.38) to protect against a breakout. Fundamentally, recent US macro releases (soft CPI, expectations of Fed rate cuts) have weakened the dollar and US equity sentiment, while hedge funds are aggressively buying Asian equities, indicating a rotation out of US risk assets. This combination of bearish technical structure and a macro environment that favours out‑flows from US equities justifies a short position with tight profit targets at 2631.20, 2631.13 and 2631.03.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
FVG midline, gap‑fill pattern, bearish multi‑timeframe alignment, H4 downtrend, high volume, structure‑based stop
Fundamental Sentiment
Weak US equity outlook from soft US inflation, Fed easing expectations and capital rotation to Asian equities after record hedge‑fund buying
Confidence Score
78
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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