SELL US500 – 6860.8

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US500

Trade ID: us500sell1771237950597 | Execution: 681559
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
6860.8
Targets Hit
2 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
6860.8
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 10:33 AM
Stop Loss
6878.8
18
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 1
6846.4
14.4
HIT
2026-02-16 14:14:00
Take Profit 2
6833.8
27
HIT
2026-02-16 14:43:00
Take Profit 3
6815.8
45
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout Short
Reason
The S&P 500 is showing a bearish reversal on the London session with a sell‑sweep pattern and strong volume, supported by macro data that is prompting a shift away from risk assets, so a short at 6860.8 with a tight stop is justified.
Details

The trade is based on a confluence of technical signals: a London‑session MSS reversal and an equal high‑low sweep indicate a short‑term top, while high volume confirms aggressive selling and the OBV conflict suggests divergence between price and momentum. On the H4 chart the level acts as a broken support (34% probability), and multi‑timeframe analysis remains neutral, reinforcing the bearish bias. Fundamentally, the latest US CPI showed persistent inflation and the jobs report added surprise strength, leading markets to rotate out of equities and into safer assets, as reflected by a stabilising DXY and broader risk‑off sentiment. This macro backdrop aligns with the technical bearish setup, giving a high‑confidence short entry at 6860.8 with a stop just above the recent structure at 6878.8 and staged profit targets at 6846.4, 6833.8 and 6815.8.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
London MSS reversal, Equal High‑Low sweep, High volume, OBV divergence, H4 support break
Fundamental Sentiment
Risk‑off bias from sticky US CPI and strong jobs data, DXY stabilising, rotation out of equities
Confidence Score
85
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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