SELL USDCHF – 0.78874

USDCHF

Trade ID: usdchfsell202601201713 | Execution: 166921
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
0.78874
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
0.78874
0
Filled
Jan 20, 2026 5:16 PM
Stop Loss
0.78974
10
HIT
2026-01-20 18:15:00
Take Profit 1
0.78794
8
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
0.78724
15
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
0.78624
25
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
News Trade
Reason
USDCHF Sell due to strong technical bearish alignment (MTF confluence) and fundamental USD weakness from geopolitical risk and negative news sentiment, with price action confirming a false breakout at the 0.79000 round number.
Details

The trade is initiated based on a confluence of bearish technical signals and negative fundamental USD sentiment. Technically, the alignment is clear: price is below the Daily, H4, and H1 EMA200/50/20, confirming a downtrend structure, and the break below the 0.7954 support level has accelerated bearish momentum. Fundamentally, the 'Sell America' narrative is strong, with news items indicating USD slumps due to Greenland tensions, UBS forecasting a weaker dollar, and the USD/CHF Daily Outlook targeting a drop to 0.7860. The trade entry is triggered by a false breakout pattern at the 0.79000 psychological level, where price failed to sustain above, indicating seller exhaustion and providing a clear entry point for a continuation move lower towards the next support zones at 0.7860 and 0.7828.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe alignment: Daily, H4, and H1 all bearish (price below EMA200/50/20). Support break at 0.7954 confirmed, with price trading below key EMAs.
Fundamental Sentiment
Negative USD sentiment driven by geopolitical tensions (Greenland escalations), UBS forecast of weaker dollar, and broad 'Sell America' trade sentiment. USD/CHF Daily Outlook remains bearish targeting 0.7860.
Confidence Score
95
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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