SELL USDCHF – 0.78891

USDCHF

Trade ID: usdchfsell202601222329 | Execution: 214322
Status
LOST
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
0.78891
Targets Hit
0 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
0.78891
0
Filled
Jan 22, 2026 11:32 PM
Stop Loss
0.78985
9.4
HIT
2026-01-23 02:04:00
Take Profit 1
0.78825
6.6
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
0.78749
14.2
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
0.78655
23.6
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Trend Following & Breakout Fading
Reason
Bearish trend continuation after liquidity sweep on USDCHF, with multi-timeframe confluence and news sentiment favoring further downside
Details

The trade is a sell on USDCHF based on a bearish continuation setup. Technically, all higher timeframes (D/H4/H1) show a clear downtrend with price below key EMAs (e.g., daily EMA50 at 0.79211 > price 0.78891) and MACD negative across timeframes, while a liquidity sweep above 0.78900 round number resistance (high of 0.78911) suggests a false breakout that has been rejected, aligning with the 'Asian False Breakout Fade' strategy. Fundamentally, the weighted news sentiment score of -13.33% indicates bearish pressure on USDCHF, with USD strength from eased geopolitical tensions (Greenland) countered by CHF safe-haven demand from gold price surges and geopolitical fears, though risk-on relief from Trump's statements provides mixed signals, but the overall trend supports the bearish bias. The entry is optimized for speed with a tight SL at 0.78920 above the sweep, and TPs calculated at 40%/65%/85% of ATR (1h), ensuring the first TP is achievable within 2 hours given the 2.65 pip target against an average hourly range of 3.31 pips, with high conviction due to trend alignment and clear pattern validation.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Multi-timeframe downtrend alignment (D/H4/H1 EMAs below price, MACD bearish, RSI oversold but continuing down), RSI divergence on 4H, OBV confirming selling pressure, liquidity sweep above 0.78900 round number resistance
Fundamental Sentiment
News sentiment negative for USDCHF (-13.33% weighted score) due to mixed USD strength (Trump Greenland easing) and CHF safe-haven demand (Gold up, geopolitical relief), risk-off cues from gold rise and geopolitical fears countered by risk-on relief, overall bearish backdrop
Confidence Score
80
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High
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