USDJPY
Trade ID: usdjpybuy1771235590953 | Execution: 680873
Status
LOST
Direction
BUY
Entry Price
153.575
Targets Hit
0 / 3
Trade Levels
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
153.575
0
Filled
Feb 16, 2026 9:53 AM
Stop Loss
153.425
15
HIT
2026-02-16 11:37:00
Take Profit 1
153.68
10.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 2
153.77
19.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
153.95
37.5
Not Hit
-
Trade Analysis
Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Breakout
Reason
Buying USDJPY on a bullish breakout confirmed by an Asian false break and a London reversal, supported by high volume and expectations of further BOJ tightening and continued USD strength
Details
The trade is based on a clear technical pattern where the price broke a false low in the Asian session and then reversed on the London MSS level, creating a buy‑sweep signal above the 153.575 entry. The H4 chart adds weight (37%) and the structure stop at 153.425 respects recent support. Volume is unusually high, confirming buying pressure. Fundamentally, the dollar is benefitting from a rebalancing narrative after solid US labor and inflation data, while the BOJ is likely to hike rates again in the coming months, keeping the yen under pressure. Together these factors produce a strong bullish bias for USD/JPY, justifying a high‑confidence, high‑conviction long position with staged profit targets.
Confluence Metrics
Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
Asian false break, London MSS reversal, high volume, multi‑timeframe alignment (H4 37% weight), support at 153.425 and entry above 153.575
Fundamental Sentiment
US dollar rebalancing theme, recent strong US jobs and CPI data, BOJ meeting signalling possible rate hike, yen rebound but still vulnerable – overall slight bullish bias for USD
Confidence Score
92
Trade Conviction
High
Reasoning Completeness
High