BUY USDJPY – 153.874

The trade is based on an A‑grade bullish setup on the 4‑hour chart where price is holding above the structural support at 153.724 and has already captured the 38.2 % Fibonacci retracement of the 139.87‑159.44 move. Multi‑timeframe analysis shows a 67 % bullish bias on the H4 and a neutral stance on higher frames, while high‑volume bars indicate strong buying pressure. The USD/JPY daily outlook reinforces the case, noting that a decisive break of the minor resistance around 154.63 could open the path to 157.65 and beyond. On the fundamental side, the latest US CPI data showed a slowdown, pushing market expectations for Fed rate cuts and keeping the dollar resilient, whereas the yen has lost safe‑haven appeal amid easing geopolitical tensions. Together, the technical strength and supportive macro environment justify a long position with a tight stop at the structure level and staged profit targets at 153.979, 154.069 and 154.249.