SELL USDJPY – 153.093

The trade targets a sell entry at 153.093 with a tight structure‑based stop at 153.243 and tiered profit targets. Technically, the pair is forming a fair‑value‑gap midline and an equal high‑low sweep on the H4 chart, indicating a liquidity‑draining move lower. The price sits below the minor resistance at 154.63 and respects the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 139.87‑159.44 swing, reinforcing the bearish bias across multiple timeframes. Volume is elevated, suggesting strong participation. Fundamentally, US dollar positioning is at a historic underweight level, and upcoming Fed minutes and labor‑market data point to potential easing, while Japan’s weak Q4 growth and the BOJ’s commitment to rate hikes keep yen support intact. This confluence of technical structure and macro‑fundamental pressure justifies a high‑conviction short position on USD/JPY.