SELL XAUUSD – 4891.25

XAUUSD

Trade ID: xauusdsell1770271073921 | Execution: 474629
Status
WON
Direction
SELL
Entry Price
4891.25
Targets Hit
1 / 3

Trade Levels

Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Level
Price
Pips
Status
Hit Time
Entry Price
4891.25
0
Filled
Feb 5, 2026 5:59 AM
Stop Loss
4902.75
115
HIT
2026-02-05 06:08:00
Take Profit 1
4884.35
69
HIT
2026-02-05 06:02:00
Take Profit 2
4876.3
149.5
Not Hit
-
Take Profit 3
4862.5
287.5
Not Hit
-

Trade Analysis

Strategy & Reasoning
Strategy
Mean Reversion
Reason
Short entry targets technical rejection after golds failed $5k break recovery. Gap fill at 4891.25 aligns with FVG midline resistance while SL at 4902.75 captures structure high.
Details

The trade leverages golds rejection from the psychological $5k level following a volatile rebound from $4,850 support. Technical confluence shows price filling Fridays gap (GAP_FILL pattern) while testing the Fair Value Gap midline (FVG_MIDLINE) on H4 charts. Despite geopolitical risks from US-Iran tensions, the 47% bearish H4 alignment and OBV divergence suggest fading the rally. News of WTI oil volatility and AUD rate hikes temporarily supported gold, but technical resistance near $4,900 and institutional neutrality justify the bearish entry targeting swing lows at 4862.50. High volatility increases position sizing caution.

Confluence Metrics

Technical & Fundamental Analysis Scores
Technical Confluence
GAP_FILL+FVG_MIDLINE+H4 Timeframe (47%)+Support/Resistance Structure
Fundamental Sentiment
US-Iran Tensions Stabilizing + Bearish Technicals After Failed $5k Break
Confidence Score
60
Trade Conviction
Medium
Reasoning Completeness
Medium
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